So much to talk about! The jobs report issued this week is fairly pressing, and--believe it or don't--digested objectively, is reasonably good news despite CNN's gleeful shrieking to the contrary. But, before I fall to far behind the political curve, we continue with part two of our reasoned appeal to undecided voters, via a dissection of John Kerry's acceptance speech at the DNC.
Mine were greatest generation parents. And as I thank them, we all join together to thank that whole generation for making America strong, for winning World War II, winning the Cold War, and for the great gift of service which brought America fifty years of peace and prosperity.This sweeps a lot of detail under the rug, and seems uncharacteristically oversimplified for the senator, but is necessary for the segue which follows. Lest we digress...
My parents inspired me to serve, and when I was a junior in high school, John Kennedy called my generation to service. It was the beginning of a great journey, a time to march for civil rights, for voting rights, for the environment, for women, and for peace. We believed we could change the world. And you know what? We did.But we're not finished. The journey isn't complete. The march isn't over. The promise isn't perfected. ...
No, America isn't perfect. But it would be instructive to consider our present condition against the backdrop of the 1960s nation in which John Kennedy called for more civil rights, voting rights, the environment, women's rights, and peace. No serious commentator could dispute the progress made on all these issues during the past four decades as the most egregious offences have been quashed. Perhaps the senator acknowledges that these problems have been substantially ameliorated and no longer are our nation's highest priority, as he spent little time actually discussing these issues.
Tonight, we're setting out again. And together, we're going to write the next great chapter of America's story.We have it in our power to change the world again. But only if we're true to our ideals and that starts by telling the truth to the American people. That is my first pledge to you tonight. As President, I will restore trust and credibility to the White House.
These remarks would be fairly harsh language if taken to their logical conclusion rather than ending in a tantalizing implication. He presents an argument ("that starts by telling the truth to the American people") and his conclusion from that argument ("I will restore trust and credibility to the White House"). His conclusion necessarily implies that he be elected to replace the current occupant of the White House, and that our current President has either himself stripped the White House of its trust and credibility, or at least maintained such a preexisting condition.
The somewhat more damning sentence is the first, about "telling the truth" to the American people. His whole argument is nonsensical unless he suggests that President Bush has not only stripped the White House of its trust and credibility, but also has failed to tell the truth to the American people. These are serious charges, or used to be before Bill Clinton made apparent that truth telling in a sitting president was no longer an unambiguous job requirement.
So if Kerry suggests that President Bush has failed to tell the truth to the American people, he must therefore have been guilty of telling them an untruth: in the common parlance, a lie. In English we tend to reserve descriptive attributes such as "truth" and its opposite for matters of integrity, not accuracy. Statements which are believed to be accurate by one who speaks them, but which are later determined not to reflect actual facts are more politely referred to as "imprecise," "inaccuracte," "wrong" or "mistaken;" but never as "lies." It is common in English to attribute as a mitigating circumstance, when one has made a statement which later is shown to be wrong, to refer to "an honest mistake." Mistakes are made, and their committal does not impugn one's honor. It is the knowing, not the falsity, which we detest in one who knowingly makes false statements.
So Kerry clearly means to suggest that President Bush has knowingly made false statements to the American people, though he won't openly state it. He later says that he "will be a commander in chief who will never mislead us into war." This puts meat onto his previous implication, for now we have some specifics against which to test his (still not openly stated) suggestion that Bush is without honor. We will briefly examine those specifics presently.
But why all the circumlocution? If he believes President Bush lied, why not just say so? Why does the senator content himself with suggesting that President Bush has not told the truth, and doing so only via the logical context of the paragraph? Why imply that President Bush has stripped the White House of its trust and credibility, but never quite say so? Why use the word "mislead," (again without precisely attributing it to President Bush, only by implication) which can mean either to simply lead in the wrong direction, or to intentionally deceive? In context, it's clear which of these definitions Kerry would prefer we interpret, but he won't say so.
I, for one, would be very interested to know if the President actually lied to us, or was merely in error--but we've yet to examine the specifics of the claim, so we can't yet say for sure whether he even was in error and if it really matters. If John Kerry knows that the President lied to us, wouldn't he say so? Wouldn't it help his campaign if there was proof--even if he could say that proof existed, but it was classified--that Bush knowingly lied?
Chris Wallace of Fox News Sunday spent some time last week trying hard to get Kerry to use the word "lie" if that was what he actually meant, and the senator went through some considerable verbal manuevers to avoid doing so:
WALLACE: You also said you will never mislead us into war and you will make sure that intelligence isn't distorted by politics.That's getting awfully close to saying the president lied about Iraq.
KERRY: I've said many times that the president misled America.
WALLACE: Intentionally?
KERRY: He misled us in what he said he would do in terms of how he would use the authority that we voted for in Congress. I voted for that authority.And you go back and look at my speech — and I ask you to — I made it very clear what I was voting for.
And within the context of the president's promise, promise, to build an international coalition, not to go it alone, to exhaust the remedies of the United Nations, and to go to war as a last resort, Chris, we did not go to war as a last resort.
I know the difference, and so do most Americans. And we're now paying — we went to war without a plan to win the peace.
WALLACE: But when you say...
KERRY: We're paying a huge price for that.
WALLACE: But when you say intelligence distorted by politics...
KERRY: Yes.
WALLACE: ... are you saying that he intentionally misled us, he knew better?
Kerry still won't answer it though, and spends five sentences talking about everything but his honest belief whether the President knowingly made false statements.
KERRY: I'm saying the administration made comments that they were warned and knew better in the making, and that's been now documented, about the nuclear materials that came from Africa.There were statements made about the connections to Al Qaida. Many speeches were made about the war on terror and linking it to Saddam Hussein. At the time, the CIA themselves said there was no connection to September 11th of Iraq.
So what they did was they transferred the legitimate war against terror in Afghanistan and against Al Qaida to Iraq, and I think we're paying a very high price for it.
WALLACE: Were those lies?
KERRY: Chris, you're fighting to get me to say a word I have not used and I'm not going to use. They misled America. Whether it was intentional or not is up to Americans to decide.
So from all this I can conclude that Kerry wants his listeners to believe that the President lied, without going through the trouble of actually saying so. Maybe he has no evidence at all, in which case he doesn't want to state the President's dishonor as a fact, which statement itself would be disproven merely be the absence of his evidence. Maybe he knows the President hasn't really lied, but is playing a little fast and loose with the truth himself with all his subtle innuendo: an implied but unspoken accusation would be devoid of negative consequences in the event, say, WMD are eventually discovered. If there is a charitable reason for his casuistic diction and word play, which rivals even "that depends what the meaning of is is" then I haven't heard it.
Now about this "mislead into war" business, much has been said, and the great bulk of it probably better than I could say it, so let's focus on just a couple of particulars, laid out for us in the senator's reply to Wallace, excerpted above.
1. "He misled us in what he said he would do in terms of how he would use the authority that we voted for in Congress."
The resolution, voted for by John Kerry, is instructive and worth reviewing. It includes the following language on then-ongoing attempts at diplomatic solutions:
SEC. 2. SUPPORT FOR UNITED STATES DIPLOMATIC EFFORTSThe Congress of the United States supports the efforts by the President to--
(a) strictly enforce through the United Nations Security Council all relevant Security Council resolutions applicable to Iraq and encourages him in those efforts; and
(b) obtain prompt and decisive action by the Security Council to ensure that Iraq abandons its strategy of delay, evasion and noncompliance and promptly and strictly complies with all relevant Security Council resolutions.
SEC. 3. AUTHORIZATION FOR USE OF UNITED STATES ARMED FORCES.(a) AUTHORIZATION. The President is authorized to use the Armed Forces of the United States as he determines to be necessary and appropriate in order to
(1) defend the national security of the United States against the continuing threat posed by Iraq; and
(2) enforce all relevant United Nations Security Council Resolutions regarding Iraq.
(b) PRESIDENTIAL DETERMINATION.In connection with the exercise of the authority granted in subsection (a) to use force the President shall, prior to such exercise or as soon there after as may be feasible, but no later than 48 hours after exercising such authority, make available to the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President pro tempore of the Senate his determination that
(1) reliance by the United States on further diplomatic or other peaceful means alone either (A) will not adequately protect the national security of the United States against the continuing threat posed by Iraq or (B) is not likely to lead to enforcement of all relevant United Nations Security Council resolutions regarding Iraq, and
(2) acting pursuant to this resolution is consistent with the United States and other countries continuing to take the necessary actions against international terrorists and terrorist organizations, including those nations, organizations or persons who planned, authorized, committed or aided the terrorists attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001.
Distilled to its essential elements, these criteria are that (1) diplomacy alone won't persuade France to authorize decisive UNSC action; and (2) such action is "consistent with"--at least, not harmful to--ongoing actions against terrorists, including (which implies also that it is not limited to) the 9/11 terrorists. Both these criteria were met.
So congress provided authorization in advance for the President to use the military to enforce various UNSC resolutions, including a "whereas" preamble which states
Whereas on September 12, 2002, President Bush committed the United States to "work with the United Nations Security Council to meet our common challenge" posed by Iraq and to "work for the necessary resolutions," while also making clear that "the Security Council resolutions will be enforced, and the just demands of peace and security will be met, or action will be unavoidable."
Congress further spelled out the criteria the President must use to evaluate his decision, which President Bush complied with. So what is John Kerry talking about? During his 10/9/2002 Senate speech on the resolution, he included the following remarks:
In giving the President this authority, I expect him to fulfill the commitments he has made to the American people in recent days--to work with the United Nations Security Council to adopt a new resolution setting out tough and immediate inspection requirements, and to act with our allies at our side if we have to disarm Saddam Hussein by force. If he fails to do so, I will be among the first to speak out.
There are a number of problems with just this paragraph. We had, by that time (October 2002) already passed UNSC Resolution 1441 in August 2002. That resolution, for those who have forgotten, held Iraq in "material breach" of its obligations under previous UNSC resolutions and offered it a "final chance" to comply. This resolution was the result of some eight weeks' negotiations, with France only agreeing to support the resolution if it removed stipulations that use of force would automatically be authorized if Iraq failed to embrace its "final chance." All the discussion by October, when John Kerry made this remark on the Senate floor, surrounded the question of negotiating what the "serious consequences" should be, since Iraq manifestly had not fully complied by that point.
The second, more general but possibly more significant, problem with Kerry's remarks is more philosophical. We in the United States consider ourselves a free country, the essence of which is marked by legislation enacted under a method of constitutional representation, executed faithfully as written--in shorthand, we live under the rule of law, not the rule of men. Kerry violates this principle first by stating that he was voting for the resolution only under the condition that any eventual military action take place "with our allies at our side," which is nowhere mentioned in the actual resolution. In his remarks he attempts to attach additional requirements to the exercise of the powers given to the President in the resolution, and somewhat incredibly conditions his yea vote on the resolution on the President complying with nonexistant elements of it, introduced only verbally by a lone senator at the conclusion of the process. This is not the way laws are rendered in this country, and John Kerry fully knows that a "conditional" yea vote is not meaningful in any way, except to use as a handle for later criticism if the yea vote begins to become a liability for the senator.
A related problem, to return to the language of his remarks to Wallace, is that when he says "He misled us in what he said he would do in terms of how he would use the authority that we voted for in Congress," what does he really mean? That he helped to pass a law which he was verbally promised, off the record, would only be executed in certain particular cases? It is wrong to put laws into effect which are bad, but to console ourselves that the particular persons in power at that moment will choose only to execute them in a manner salutary to the public good. Every senator and member of congress knows this, and a lawmaker is a poor custodian of the public trust who writes such legislation as he knows can be legally executed in a way that is "bad," but trusts that it still will only be executed in a way that is "good." If John Kerry knowingly voted for a resolution authorizing the use of force under certain circumstances, but would not approve of that use of force if those circumstances were met--unless other, unwritten circumstances were also met--he is deceiving either himself or his constituents.
2. "And within the context of the president's promise...to build an international coalition, not to go it alone..."
I really am mystified that this remark is so frequently allowed to fly without rebuttal. To insist for a moment on using standard definitions of English words and phrases, we did build an international coalition. Of 18 NATO nations with armed forces (Iceland is without), ten nations (a majority!) have sent troops to Iraq: the US, Britain, Italy, Spain, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Denmark, the Czech Republic, and Hungary. Spain, of course, has since departed.
Troops have also been provided, and continue to serve in Iraq, from Australia, Ukraine, Romania, Japan, South Korea (pending), Bulgaria, Thailand, El Salvador, Mongolia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Slovakia, Albania, New Zealand, Estonia, Tonga(!), Singapore, Macedonia, and Moldova. This totals 31 nations which presently have troops in Iraq, and with the addition of Spain, Nicaragua, Honduras, Norway, Dominican Republic, and Phillipines, all of which have contributed but since withdrawn their forces, at total of 37 nations who have contributed troops to the effort. Most of these nations have sent only small contributions, true, but none has a military like some of the largest NATO nations. The US has contributed about 87% of the troops in Iraq.
By comparison, the 1991 Gulf War, which was the very model of a multilateral coalition, employed the services of 34 nations. The US contributed 500,000 troops of 660,000 total in theater, or 74% of the total. I don't believe the claim of "going it alone" can be justified in any objective sense, and it is a great disservice by John Kerry to dismiss the sacrifice of the many Brits and Poles and Italians and others who have been killed in Iraq, waving their sacrifice away with a derisive claim of a "fraudulent coalition."
3. "[T]he administration made comments that they were warned and knew better in the making, and that's been now documented, about the nuclear materials that came from Africa."
This naturally refers to the infamous sixteen words in the 2003 State of the Union speech: "The British Government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa." This was based on evidence believed credible at the time, and the British investigation (the Butler intelligence review panel) substantiates this. (A really excellent review of all the facts can be found at factcheck.org, and is well worth reading.)
It is accepted by all parties that Iraqi officials visited Niger in 1999. The British Government had intelligence from several different sources indicating that this visit was for the purpose of acquiring uranium. Since uranium constitutes almost three-quarters of Niger’s exports, the intelligence was credible. ... By extension, we conclude also that the statement in President Bush’s State of the Union Address of 28 January 2003 that “The British Government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa” was well-founded.
That's not to say it was necessarily true. It was, like all other such intelligence estimates, based on loose threads and best guesses with fragmentary data. The CIA, months after the State of the Union speech, reversed itself and concluded that they "no longer believe that there is sufficient other reporting to conclude that Iraq pursued uranium from abroad." At worst, it would be accurate to say that the President used British intelligence as a foil to state something with more certainty than the output of his own national intelligence apparatus would permit, and that that claim has not yet been substantiated. At best, one could say the President drew the same conclusions about Iraq's WMD programs as his predecessor Bill Clinton did when he launched Operation Desert Fox in 1998.
4. "There were statements made about the connections to Al Qaida. Many speeches were made about the war on terror and linking it to Saddam Hussein. At the time, the CIA themselves said there was no connection to September 11th of Iraq."
This is so nuanced as to be almost lawyerly. Many speeches were made about Saddam sponsoring terrorists, which he certainly did, even if they were Palestinian suicide bombers and not 9/11 hijackers. No attempt was made by the administration, so far as I can find, to associate Saddam with 9/11--only with terrorism. So here Kerry conflates two separate issues (administrative claims equating Saddam with terrorism, and subsequent conclusions that Saddam was not involved in 9/11) and, I guess, implies that since the latter was rebuffed we should also credit the President for lying when he stated the former. Anyone who has a recollection of any administration official actually saying Saddam was involved in 9/11 should point it out to me.
Their conclusions about equating Saddam with international terror were correct. The man gave $25,000 to the families of suicide bombers in Palestine, a fact which no one disputes.
Next up: the Attorney General who apparently has passed the Constitution through the shredder and set fire to the resultant shreds.
The time has come to think seriously for a few moments about the upcoming election.
The nation's condition and future are, in many ways, at a more critical crossroads than we have seen since at least the 1980 election cycle, or maybe even before that; the starkness of contrast in our choices for president is commensurate with the seriousness of the consequences of our collective choice. If one considers our enemy--a band of Islamic fascists who are pleased to cut off the heads of their adversaries--it is not mere hyperbole to suggest that the very survival of our society, even of western civilization itself, would be cast seriously into question if this same band of gleeful murderers were to gain access to nuclear or biological weapons. Matters are just that serious, and we are faced with two main choices of how to deal with the future.
Anyone who has ever dropped by here knows my preference for president, and a few of the reasons why. But much of what is said on both sides of the body politic these days is mere rhetoric, sharp and snarky to be sure, but generally persuasive in an inverse relation to its snarkiness.
As much fun as these are to write and to read, they are politically inconsequential. Those whose minds are already made up enjoy producing and encountering opinions which amplify, refine, or explicate their own. But the election will ultimately come down to the yet-undecided middle voter. I address this effort to them: there are reasons, I believe compelling ones, why not only we should vote against John Kerry, but why we should vote for George Bush. These need to be assessed coolly and without the intensity of partisan championing. We collectively must decide how to progress based on what the future demands, not whose fault it is how we got where we are, or whether we agree or disagree with some or all the steps which eventuated in our present condition.
This will be the first in a series of essays to address specifically such few undecideds as may still be out there. The basis of these trifling essays will be remarks by both candidates, and what I hope to be an unimpassioned dissection of their meaning to an assessment of George Bush's first term; George Bush's prospective second term; and the prospective John Kerry presidency. To the extent possible, and as my humble basis of knowledge permits, we will reduce the arguments for and against to facts, not emotional appeals, and their evaluation in reference to first principles.
The first subject of these articles will be John Kerry's DNC acceptance speech. I don't intend for this to be a Fisking, and I will forego any cheap shots which present themselves.
The first big chunk of the speech is pretty unobjectionable, if also equally generic:
John Kerry Nomination acceptance speech, 7/29/2004 We are here tonight because we love our country.We are proud of what America is and what it can become.
My fellow Americans, we are here tonight united in one simple purpose: to make America stronger at home and respected in the world.
A great American novelist wrote that you can't go home again. He could not have imagined this evening. Tonight, I am home. Home where my public life began and those who made it possible live. Home where our nation's history was written in blood, idealism, and hope. Home where my parents showed me the values of family, faith, and country.
Thank you, all of you, for a welcome home I will never forget.
I wish my parents could share this moment. They went to their rest in the last few years, but their example, their inspiration, their gift of open eyes, open mind, and endless world are bigger and more lasting than any words.
I was born in Colorado, in Fitzsimmons Army Hospital, when my dad was a pilot in World War II. Now, I'm not one to read into things, but guess which wing of the hospital the maternity ward was in? I'm not making this up. I was born in the West Wing!
My mother was the rock of our family, as so many mothers are. She stayed up late to help me do my homework. She sat by my bed when I was sick, and she answered the questions of a child who, like all children, found the world full of wonders and mysteries.
She was my den mother when I was a Cub Scout and she was so proud of her 50-year pin as a Girl Scout leader. She gave me her passion for the environment. She taught me to see trees as the cathedrals of nature. And by the power of her example, she showed me that we can and must finish the march toward full equality for all women in our country.
My dad did the things that a boy remembers. He gave me my first model airplane, my first baseball mitt and my first bicycle. He also taught me that we are here for something bigger than ourselves; he lived out the responsibilities and sacrifices of the greatest generation, to whom we owe so much.
When I was a young man, he was in the State Department, stationed in Berlin when it and the world were divided between democracy and communism. I have unforgettable memories of being a kid mesmerized by the British, French, and American troops, each of them guarding their own part of the city, and Russians standing guard on the stark line separating East from West. On one occasion, I rode my bike into Soviet East Berlin. And when I proudly told my dad, he promptly grounded me.
But what I learned has stayed with me for a lifetime. I saw how different life was on different sides of the same city. I saw the fear in the eyes of people who were not free. I saw the gratitude of people toward the United States for all that we had done. I felt goose bumps as I got off a military train and heard the Army band strike up "Stars and Stripes Forever." I learned what it meant to be America at our best. I learned the pride of our freedom. And I am determined now to restore that pride to all who look to America.
Consider for a moment the apparently different audiences Reagan and Kerry have for their appeals to national pride. John Kerry hopes to restore national pride to "all who look to America," certainly a curious choice of words if one is speaking primarily of the Americans themselves. This, perhaps, is an almost subconcious manifestation of Kerry's internationalist priorities: maybe he is directing his hope toward our traditional allies.
Reagan, conversely, continued his farewell speech thusly:
An informed patriotism is what we want. And are we doing a good enough job teaching our children what America is and what she represents in the long history of the world? Those of us who are over thirty-five or so years of age grew up in a different America. We were taught, very directly, what it means to be an American. And we absorbed, almost in the air, a love of country and an appreciation of its institutions. If you didn't get these things from your family, you got them from the neighborhood, from the father down the street who fought in Korea of the family who lost someone at Anzio. Or you could get a sense of patriotism from school. And if all else failed, you could get a sense of patriotism from the popular culture. The movies celebrated democratic values and implicitly reinforced the idea that America was special.
America is freedom - freedom of speech, freedom of religion, freedom of enterprise. And freedom is special and rare. It's fragile; it needs protection. ...
I've spoken of the shining city all my political life, but I don't know if I ever quite communicated what I saw when I said it. But in my mind it was a tall proud city built on rocks stronger than oceans, wind-swept, God-blessed, and teeming with people of all kinds living in harmony and peace, a city with free ports that hummed with commerce and creativity, and if there had to be city walls, the walls had doors and the doors were open to anyone with the will and the heart to get here. That's how I saw it, and see it still.
The implication Kerry makes is that, as we did at the end of the Carter administration, we have lost our national pride because of the failings of the current administration. But the "national malaise," in Reagan's phrase, was deep and dark in 1980 and an honest comparison with today's state of affairs is reassuring to us in our evaluation of our own condition.
The Vietnam war was still an unapologetic subject for discussion in 1980. It had ended just seven years prior, making it much nearer in recollection than our own remembrance of the first Gulf War. America had entered a war without much of a plan to win, had badly underestimated the enemy, and had lost 50,000 men--many of whom were conscripts--over a seemingly interminable ten-year conflict, before finally giving up amidst a near collapse of the government. The 900+ blessed dead in the current sixteen-month Iraq war--all volunteers to a professional military--does not really compare, and it is disingenuous to suggest otherwise.
The early 1980s economy floundered along lumpily. Unlike today, when silly remarks about our modern economy's status as the worst since the Great Depression receive standing ovations, there was true widespread economic suffering in the early 1980s. The numbers can be recited but hardly tell the whole story: unemployment peaked near 11% in 1982 and spent nineteen consecutive months at or above 9%; inflation cruised along at 10-12%. Renters found it nearly impossible to buy a home, with mortgage rates of 15%. The reality of this last figure alone is illuminating: a $100,000 home could be had today, assuming a 30-year fixed mortgage at 5.5%, for payments of $568 per month; that same home, for the same repayment term but at 15% interest rates, would cost $1264 per month, pricing it right out of reach of many would-be buyers.
Add the gas lines which resulted from the OPEC embargos, the Iranian hostages, and the bombing of our Marine barracks in Beirut, and it would be fair to say that we Americans had had a pretty rough time of things for the better part of a decade by the time things started to turn around in 1983. The economy right now is producing strong GDP growth (though the latest quarter, at 3%, is only average), 3% inflation, and 5.5% mortgage rates. Unemployment is a tad higher, at 5.6%, than what economists call full employment (5%). Job growth did lag unusually long during the present recovery--but more than a million net jobs have been created in the past ten months. Could be better? Sure. But it's not what you'd call a "national malaise."
So, then, where does this purported present lack of national pride come from? It's probably worth observing that it's not universal, but seems to be confined mostly to liberals who oppose many of George Bush's policies and initiatives, and derive too great a portion of their national pride from the opinions of some of our European allies. That Jacque Chirac and Gerhardt Schroeder have derided us as simplistic cowboys because of their disagreements with George Bush does not properly correlate to a diminution of national pride--except among those with an external locus of control, who allow their opinions to be influenced primarily by the opinions of others. It is not nearly so universal as John Kerry suggests, and frankly seems nothing more than an unusually intense manifestation of disagreement with political policy.
Next up: "restoring trust and credibility to the White House."